The sunspot is within range of Earth, but there is no firm forecast for auroras yet.
Scientists are keeping an eye on a sunspot that fired off an X-class flare while “having an identity crisis,” according to SpaceWeather.com.
Amplified aurora displays are possible if a coronal mass ejection of charged particles emerges from the “mixed-up” sunspot AR3006, which pointed its flaring blast toward Earth Tuesday (May 10) at 9:55 a.m. EDT (1355 GMT).
The flare was caught on camera by NASA’s Solar Dynamics Observatory. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) spurred a radio emission alert amid a reported shortwave radio blackout in the Atlantic Ocean region.
AR3006’s polarity is the reverse of what scientists expect, which makes the sunspot “interesting and dangerous,” SpaceWeather.com stated. (Sunspot polarity is governed by the current solar cycle.) “If AR3006 flares today, it will be geoeffective. The sunspot is directly facing Earth,” the website added.
According to NOAA’s Space Weather Prediction Center, which monitors solar flares and other outbursts, a coronal mass ejection (CME) may follow today’s fit. CMEs are massive outbursts of solar material burped out by the sun, and scientists can predict whether one will follow a flare based on the radio signature. At about 12 p.m. EDT (1700 GMT), the agency said that a CME “may be likely,” pending further observations.
In general, auroras may happen if a CME intersects with our planet’s magnetic field lines. Usually, a harmless sky show as atmospheric molecules of gas glow.
Today’s flare was classified as an X1.5-class event, making it on the weak side of the strongest category of flare. The sun has fired off several explosions of about the same strength in the past month, along with many moderate-sized flares. The sun’s peak activity is expected to occur in 2025, but there are numerous sunspots on its surface right now.
More rarely, CMEs can generate trouble with inadequate infrastructures such as power lines and satellites, so scientists closely watch space weather through numerous missions gazing at our sun.